{"event":{"category":"Elections","collateral_return_type":"DIRECNET","event_ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","exchange_index":0,"last_updated_ts":"0001-01-01T00:00:00Z","mutually_exclusive":false,"series_ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS","settlement_sources":[{"name":"Federal Election Commission","url":"https://www.fec.gov"},{"name":"United States House of Representatives","url":"https://www.house.gov"},{"name":"United States Senate","url":"https://www.senate.gov"},{"name":"New York Times","url":"https://www.nytimes.com/"},{"name":"the Associated Press","url":"https://apnews.com/"},{"name":"Bloomberg News","url":"https://www.bloomberg.com"},{"name":"Reuters","url":"https://www.reuters.com/"},{"name":"Axios","url":"https://www.axios.com/"},{"name":"Politico","url":"https://www.politico.com/"},{"name":"Semafor","url":"https://www.semafor.com/"},{"name":"The Washington Post","url":"https://www.washingtonpost.com/"},{"name":"The Wall Street Journal","url":"https://www.wsj.com/"},{"name":"ABC","url":"https://abcnews.go.com/"},{"name":"CBS","url":"https://www.cbsnews.com/"},{"name":"CNN","url":"https://www.cnn.com/"},{"name":"Fox News","url":"https://www.foxnews.com/"},{"name":"MSNBC","url":"https://www.msnbc.com/"},{"name":"Elon Musk’s X account","url":"https://twitter.com/elonmusk"},{"name":"official campaign websites of candidates","url":"https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote"},{"name":"Ballotpedia","url":"https://ballotpedia.org"},{"name":"The Information","url":"https://www.theinformation.com/"},{"name":"NBC","url":"https://www.nbcnews.com/"}],"strike_period":"","sub_title":"In 2026","title":"How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?"},"markets":[{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2026-07-14T19:10:59.241065Z","early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.","event_ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-03T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","floor_strike":1,"last_price_dollars":"0.3200","latest_expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.6800","no_bid_dollars":"0.6100","no_sub_title":"At least 1","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","occurrence_datetime":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","open_interest_fp":"1018.39","open_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.3200","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.3900","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.3300","price_level_structure":"linear_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0100"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026.\n\n\"Endorsed by Elon Musk\" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements.\n\nMaking any monetary contribution (including in-kind contributions) to a candidate's campaign, political action committee, or affiliated organization, as reported by any Source Agency, is also considered an endorsement.\n\nParticipating in any of the following campaign activities for a candidate is considered an endorsement:\nSpeaking at a campaign rally, fundraiser, or official campaign event\nAppearing in campaign advertisements or promotional materials\nServing in an official campaign role (e.g., campaign chair, advisor, surrogate)\nHosting or co-hosting a fundraising event\n\n\"Non-incumbent\" means a candidate who is not currently serving in the specific federal office they are seeking at the time of the election. A member of the House running for Senate is considered a non-incumbent for the Senate race.\n\n\"Federal office\" means only: United States Senator, United States Representative, President of the United States, or Vice President of the United States.\n\n\"Elected\" means the candidate has been officially certified as the winner by the relevant state election authority.\n\nIf Musk endorses a candidate after they have already been elected, this does not count toward the total. If Musk withdraws an endorsement before the election occurs, and explicitly states he is withdrawing support, the candidate no longer counts as endorsed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"greater_or_equal","subtitle":"At least 1","ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-1","title":"How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-24T00:02:19.270118Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"2626.22","yes_ask_dollars":"0.3900","yes_ask_size_fp":"5.25","yes_bid_dollars":"0.3200","yes_bid_size_fp":"200.00","yes_sub_title":"At least 1"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2026-07-14T19:10:45.928433Z","early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.","event_ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-03T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","floor_strike":3,"last_price_dollars":"0.1800","latest_expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.8800","no_bid_dollars":"0.8100","no_sub_title":"At least 3","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","occurrence_datetime":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","open_interest_fp":"419.66","open_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.1800","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.1900","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.1300","price_level_structure":"linear_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0100"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 3, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026.\n\n\"Endorsed by Elon Musk\" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements.\n\nMaking any monetary contribution (including in-kind contributions) to a candidate's campaign, political action committee, or affiliated organization, as reported by any Source Agency, is also considered an endorsement.\n\nParticipating in any of the following campaign activities for a candidate is considered an endorsement:\nSpeaking at a campaign rally, fundraiser, or official campaign event\nAppearing in campaign advertisements or promotional materials\nServing in an official campaign role (e.g., campaign chair, advisor, surrogate)\nHosting or co-hosting a fundraising event\n\n\"Non-incumbent\" means a candidate who is not currently serving in the specific federal office they are seeking at the time of the election. A member of the House running for Senate is considered a non-incumbent for the Senate race.\n\n\"Federal office\" means only: United States Senator, United States Representative, President of the United States, or Vice President of the United States.\n\n\"Elected\" means the candidate has been officially certified as the winner by the relevant state election authority.\n\nIf Musk endorses a candidate after they have already been elected, this does not count toward the total. If Musk withdraws an endorsement before the election occurs, and explicitly states he is withdrawing support, the candidate no longer counts as endorsed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"greater_or_equal","subtitle":"At least 3","ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-3","title":"How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-24T00:02:19.270118Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"436.60","yes_ask_dollars":"0.1900","yes_ask_size_fp":"200.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.1200","yes_bid_size_fp":"10.00","yes_sub_title":"At least 3"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-06-04T17:18:20.161834Z","early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.","event_ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-03T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","floor_strike":5,"last_price_dollars":"0.0500","latest_expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9280","no_bid_dollars":"0.8600","no_sub_title":"At least 5","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"2916.45","open_time":"2025-06-04T20:45:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0500","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.1400","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0730","price_level_structure":"tapered_deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"0.1000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"},{"end":"0.9000","start":"0.1000","step":"0.0100"},{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.9000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026.\n\n\"Endorsed by Elon Musk\" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements.\n\nMaking any monetary contribution (including in-kind contributions) to a candidate's campaign, political action committee, or affiliated organization, as reported by any Source Agency, is also considered an endorsement.\n\nParticipating in any of the following campaign activities for a candidate is considered an endorsement:\nSpeaking at a campaign rally, fundraiser, or official campaign event\nAppearing in campaign advertisements or promotional materials\nServing in an official campaign role (e.g., campaign chair, advisor, surrogate)\nHosting or co-hosting a fundraising event\n\n\"Non-incumbent\" means a candidate who is not currently serving in the specific federal office they are seeking at the time of the election. A member of the House running for Senate is considered a non-incumbent for the Senate race.\n\n\"Federal office\" means only: United States Senator, United States Representative, President of the United States, or Vice President of the United States.\n\n\"Elected\" means the candidate has been officially certified as the winner by the relevant state election authority.\n\nIf Musk endorses a candidate after they have already been elected, this does not count toward the total. If Musk withdraws an endorsement before the election occurs, and explicitly states he is withdrawing support, the candidate no longer counts as endorsed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"greater_or_equal","ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-5","title":"How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-24T00:02:19.270118Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"10194.63","yes_ask_dollars":"0.1400","yes_ask_size_fp":"3.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0720","yes_bid_size_fp":"200.00","yes_sub_title":"At least 5"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-06-04T17:18:20.161834Z","early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.","event_ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-03T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","floor_strike":10,"last_price_dollars":"0.0560","latest_expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9680","no_bid_dollars":"0.9020","no_sub_title":"At least 10","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"1456.78","open_time":"2025-06-04T20:45:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0560","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0980","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0320","price_level_structure":"tapered_deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"0.1000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"},{"end":"0.9000","start":"0.1000","step":"0.0100"},{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.9000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 10, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026.\n\n\"Endorsed by Elon Musk\" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements.\n\nMaking any monetary contribution (including in-kind contributions) to a candidate's campaign, political action committee, or affiliated organization, as reported by any Source Agency, is also considered an endorsement.\n\nParticipating in any of the following campaign activities for a candidate is considered an endorsement:\nSpeaking at a campaign rally, fundraiser, or official campaign event\nAppearing in campaign advertisements or promotional materials\nServing in an official campaign role (e.g., campaign chair, advisor, surrogate)\nHosting or co-hosting a fundraising event\n\n\"Non-incumbent\" means a candidate who is not currently serving in the specific federal office they are seeking at the time of the election. A member of the House running for Senate is considered a non-incumbent for the Senate race.\n\n\"Federal office\" means only: United States Senator, United States Representative, President of the United States, or Vice President of the United States.\n\n\"Elected\" means the candidate has been officially certified as the winner by the relevant state election authority.\n\nIf Musk endorses a candidate after they have already been elected, this does not count toward the total. If Musk withdraws an endorsement before the election occurs, and explicitly states he is withdrawing support, the candidate no longer counts as endorsed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"greater_or_equal","subtitle":"At least 10","ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-10","title":"How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-24T00:02:19.270118Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"2683.03","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0980","yes_ask_size_fp":"20.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0320","yes_bid_size_fp":"200.00","yes_sub_title":"At least 10"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-06-04T17:18:20.161834Z","early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.","event_ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-03T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","floor_strike":15,"last_price_dollars":"0.0790","latest_expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9980","no_bid_dollars":"0.9700","no_sub_title":"At least 15","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"619.00","open_time":"2025-06-04T20:45:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0790","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0300","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0020","price_level_structure":"tapered_deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"0.1000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"},{"end":"0.9000","start":"0.1000","step":"0.0100"},{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.9000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 15, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026.\n\n\"Endorsed by Elon Musk\" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements.\n\nMaking any monetary contribution (including in-kind contributions) to a candidate's campaign, political action committee, or affiliated organization, as reported by any Source Agency, is also considered an endorsement.\n\nParticipating in any of the following campaign activities for a candidate is considered an endorsement:\nSpeaking at a campaign rally, fundraiser, or official campaign event\nAppearing in campaign advertisements or promotional materials\nServing in an official campaign role (e.g., campaign chair, advisor, surrogate)\nHosting or co-hosting a fundraising event\n\n\"Non-incumbent\" means a candidate who is not currently serving in the specific federal office they are seeking at the time of the election. A member of the House running for Senate is considered a non-incumbent for the Senate race.\n\n\"Federal office\" means only: United States Senator, United States Representative, President of the United States, or Vice President of the United States.\n\n\"Elected\" means the candidate has been officially certified as the winner by the relevant state election authority.\n\nIf Musk endorses a candidate after they have already been elected, this does not count toward the total. If Musk withdraws an endorsement before the election occurs, and explicitly states he is withdrawing support, the candidate no longer counts as endorsed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"greater_or_equal","subtitle":"At least 15","ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-15","title":"How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-24T00:02:19.270118Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"6264.00","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0300","yes_ask_size_fp":"411.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0020","yes_bid_size_fp":"200.00","yes_sub_title":"At least 15"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-06-04T17:18:20.161834Z","early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.","event_ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-03T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","floor_strike":20,"last_price_dollars":"0.0650","latest_expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9970","no_bid_dollars":"0.9320","no_sub_title":"At least 20","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"230.00","open_time":"2025-06-04T20:45:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0650","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0680","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0030","price_level_structure":"tapered_deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"0.1000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"},{"end":"0.9000","start":"0.1000","step":"0.0100"},{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.9000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 20, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026.\n\n\"Endorsed by Elon Musk\" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements.\n\nMaking any monetary contribution (including in-kind contributions) to a candidate's campaign, political action committee, or affiliated organization, as reported by any Source Agency, is also considered an endorsement.\n\nParticipating in any of the following campaign activities for a candidate is considered an endorsement:\nSpeaking at a campaign rally, fundraiser, or official campaign event\nAppearing in campaign advertisements or promotional materials\nServing in an official campaign role (e.g., campaign chair, advisor, surrogate)\nHosting or co-hosting a fundraising event\n\n\"Non-incumbent\" means a candidate who is not currently serving in the specific federal office they are seeking at the time of the election. A member of the House running for Senate is considered a non-incumbent for the Senate race.\n\n\"Federal office\" means only: United States Senator, United States Representative, President of the United States, or Vice President of the United States.\n\n\"Elected\" means the candidate has been officially certified as the winner by the relevant state election authority.\n\nIf Musk endorses a candidate after they have already been elected, this does not count toward the total. If Musk withdraws an endorsement before the election occurs, and explicitly states he is withdrawing support, the candidate no longer counts as endorsed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"greater_or_equal","subtitle":"At least 20","ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-20","title":"How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-24T00:02:19.270118Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"238.00","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0680","yes_ask_size_fp":"200.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0030","yes_bid_size_fp":"5.00","yes_sub_title":"At least 20"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-06-04T17:18:20.161834Z","early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.","event_ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-03T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","floor_strike":25,"last_price_dollars":"0.0580","latest_expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9860","no_bid_dollars":"0.9370","no_sub_title":"At least 25","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"251.19","open_time":"2025-06-04T20:45:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0580","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0630","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0140","price_level_structure":"tapered_deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"0.1000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"},{"end":"0.9000","start":"0.1000","step":"0.0100"},{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.9000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 25, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026.\n\n\"Endorsed by Elon Musk\" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements.\n\nMaking any monetary contribution (including in-kind contributions) to a candidate's campaign, political action committee, or affiliated organization, as reported by any Source Agency, is also considered an endorsement.\n\nParticipating in any of the following campaign activities for a candidate is considered an endorsement:\nSpeaking at a campaign rally, fundraiser, or official campaign event\nAppearing in campaign advertisements or promotional materials\nServing in an official campaign role (e.g., campaign chair, advisor, surrogate)\nHosting or co-hosting a fundraising event\n\n\"Non-incumbent\" means a candidate who is not currently serving in the specific federal office they are seeking at the time of the election. A member of the House running for Senate is considered a non-incumbent for the Senate race.\n\n\"Federal office\" means only: United States Senator, United States Representative, President of the United States, or Vice President of the United States.\n\n\"Elected\" means the candidate has been officially certified as the winner by the relevant state election authority.\n\nIf Musk endorses a candidate after they have already been elected, this does not count toward the total. If Musk withdraws an endorsement before the election occurs, and explicitly states he is withdrawing support, the candidate no longer counts as endorsed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"greater_or_equal","subtitle":"At least 25","ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-25","title":"How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-24T00:02:19.270118Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"306.87","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0630","yes_ask_size_fp":"200.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0140","yes_bid_size_fp":"38.32","yes_sub_title":"At least 25"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-06-04T17:18:20.161834Z","early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.","event_ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-03T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","floor_strike":50,"last_price_dollars":"0.0590","latest_expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9980","no_bid_dollars":"0.9410","no_sub_title":"At least 50","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"48.00","open_time":"2025-06-04T20:45:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0590","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0590","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0020","price_level_structure":"tapered_deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"0.1000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"},{"end":"0.9000","start":"0.1000","step":"0.0100"},{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.9000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 50, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026.\n\n\"Endorsed by Elon Musk\" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements.\n\nMaking any monetary contribution (including in-kind contributions) to a candidate's campaign, political action committee, or affiliated organization, as reported by any Source Agency, is also considered an endorsement.\n\nParticipating in any of the following campaign activities for a candidate is considered an endorsement:\nSpeaking at a campaign rally, fundraiser, or official campaign event\nAppearing in campaign advertisements or promotional materials\nServing in an official campaign role (e.g., campaign chair, advisor, surrogate)\nHosting or co-hosting a fundraising event\n\n\"Non-incumbent\" means a candidate who is not currently serving in the specific federal office they are seeking at the time of the election. A member of the House running for Senate is considered a non-incumbent for the Senate race.\n\n\"Federal office\" means only: United States Senator, United States Representative, President of the United States, or Vice President of the United States.\n\n\"Elected\" means the candidate has been officially certified as the winner by the relevant state election authority.\n\nIf Musk endorses a candidate after they have already been elected, this does not count toward the total. If Musk withdraws an endorsement before the election occurs, and explicitly states he is withdrawing support, the candidate no longer counts as endorsed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"greater_or_equal","subtitle":"At least 50","ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-50","title":"How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-24T00:02:19.270118Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"57.00","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0590","yes_ask_size_fp":"200.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0020","yes_bid_size_fp":"5.00","yes_sub_title":"At least 50"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-06-04T17:18:20.161834Z","early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.","event_ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-03T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","floor_strike":75,"last_price_dollars":"0.0020","latest_expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9990","no_bid_dollars":"0.9510","no_sub_title":"At least 75","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"1075.09","open_time":"2025-06-04T20:45:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0020","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0490","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0010","price_level_structure":"tapered_deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"0.1000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"},{"end":"0.9000","start":"0.1000","step":"0.0100"},{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.9000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 75, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026.\n\n\"Endorsed by Elon Musk\" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements.\n\nMaking any monetary contribution (including in-kind contributions) to a candidate's campaign, political action committee, or affiliated organization, as reported by any Source Agency, is also considered an endorsement.\n\nParticipating in any of the following campaign activities for a candidate is considered an endorsement:\nSpeaking at a campaign rally, fundraiser, or official campaign event\nAppearing in campaign advertisements or promotional materials\nServing in an official campaign role (e.g., campaign chair, advisor, surrogate)\nHosting or co-hosting a fundraising event\n\n\"Non-incumbent\" means a candidate who is not currently serving in the specific federal office they are seeking at the time of the election. A member of the House running for Senate is considered a non-incumbent for the Senate race.\n\n\"Federal office\" means only: United States Senator, United States Representative, President of the United States, or Vice President of the United States.\n\n\"Elected\" means the candidate has been officially certified as the winner by the relevant state election authority.\n\nIf Musk endorses a candidate after they have already been elected, this does not count toward the total. If Musk withdraws an endorsement before the election occurs, and explicitly states he is withdrawing support, the candidate no longer counts as endorsed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"greater_or_equal","subtitle":"At least 75","ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-75","title":"How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-24T00:02:19.270118Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"1097.09","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0490","yes_ask_size_fp":"200.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0010","yes_bid_size_fp":"1000.00","yes_sub_title":"At least 75"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-06-04T17:18:20.161834Z","early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.","event_ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-03T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","floor_strike":100,"last_price_dollars":"0.0110","latest_expiration_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9890","no_bid_dollars":"0.9600","no_sub_title":"At least 100","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"420.74","open_time":"2025-06-04T20:45:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0110","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0400","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0110","price_level_structure":"tapered_deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"0.1000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"},{"end":"0.9000","start":"0.1000","step":"0.0100"},{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.9000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 100, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026.\n\n\"Endorsed by Elon Musk\" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements.\n\nMaking any monetary contribution (including in-kind contributions) to a candidate's campaign, political action committee, or affiliated organization, as reported by any Source Agency, is also considered an endorsement.\n\nParticipating in any of the following campaign activities for a candidate is considered an endorsement:\nSpeaking at a campaign rally, fundraiser, or official campaign event\nAppearing in campaign advertisements or promotional materials\nServing in an official campaign role (e.g., campaign chair, advisor, surrogate)\nHosting or co-hosting a fundraising event\n\n\"Non-incumbent\" means a candidate who is not currently serving in the specific federal office they are seeking at the time of the election. A member of the House running for Senate is considered a non-incumbent for the Senate race.\n\n\"Federal office\" means only: United States Senator, United States Representative, President of the United States, or Vice President of the United States.\n\n\"Elected\" means the candidate has been officially certified as the winner by the relevant state election authority.\n\nIf Musk endorses a candidate after they have already been elected, this does not count toward the total. If Musk withdraws an endorsement before the election occurs, and explicitly states he is withdrawing support, the candidate no longer counts as endorsed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"greater_or_equal","subtitle":"At least 100","ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-100","title":"How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-24T00:02:19.270118Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"1075.16","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0400","yes_ask_size_fp":"400.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0110","yes_bid_size_fp":"16.00","yes_sub_title":"At least 100"}]}