{"event":{"category":"Science and Technology","collateral_return_type":"MECNET","event_ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","exchange_index":0,"last_updated_ts":"2026-10-13T19:44:23.060252Z","markets":[{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-12-31T20:54:49.523897Z","custom_strike":{"Organization":"Baidu"},"event_ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.0020","latest_expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9990","no_bid_dollars":"0.9980","no_sub_title":"Ernie","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"713981.24","open_time":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0010","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0020","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0010","price_level_structure":"deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":3600,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","subtitle":"Ernie:: Baidu","ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-BAID","title":"Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-13T19:44:23.06889Z","volume_24h_fp":"9006.48","volume_fp":"1127490.49","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0020","yes_ask_size_fp":"40061.03","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0010","yes_bid_size_fp":"1197375.59","yes_sub_title":"Ernie"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-12-31T20:54:49.523897Z","custom_strike":{"Organization":"Google"},"event_ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.7290","latest_expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.2760","no_bid_dollars":"0.2710","no_sub_title":"Gemini","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"1456439.13","open_time":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.6850","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.6850","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.6840","price_level_structure":"deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":3600,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","subtitle":"Gemini:: Google","ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-GOOG","title":"Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-13T19:44:23.06889Z","volume_24h_fp":"54461.41","volume_fp":"3455005.54","yes_ask_dollars":"0.7290","yes_ask_size_fp":"1030.38","yes_bid_dollars":"0.7240","yes_bid_size_fp":"849.95","yes_sub_title":"Gemini"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-12-31T20:54:49.523897Z","custom_strike":{"Organization":"OpenAI"},"event_ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.0410","latest_expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9590","no_bid_dollars":"0.9580","no_sub_title":"ChatGPT","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"1605325.55","open_time":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0450","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0460","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0440","price_level_structure":"deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":3600,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","subtitle":"ChatGPT:: OpenAI","ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-OAI","title":"Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-13T19:44:23.06889Z","volume_24h_fp":"22661.77","volume_fp":"3369752.07","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0420","yes_ask_size_fp":"3091.02","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0410","yes_bid_size_fp":"99.59","yes_sub_title":"ChatGPT"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-12-31T20:54:49.523897Z","custom_strike":{"Organization":"Anthropic"},"event_ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.2170","latest_expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.7870","no_bid_dollars":"0.7830","no_sub_title":"Claude","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"1575361.75","open_time":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.2550","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.2550","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.2490","price_level_structure":"deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":3600,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","subtitle":"Claude:: Anthropic","ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-A","title":"Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-13T19:44:23.06889Z","volume_24h_fp":"22108.50","volume_fp":"3699532.34","yes_ask_dollars":"0.2170","yes_ask_size_fp":"4976.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.2130","yes_bid_size_fp":"361.04","yes_sub_title":"Claude"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-12-31T20:54:49.523897Z","custom_strike":{"Organization":"xAI"},"event_ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.0070","latest_expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9940","no_bid_dollars":"0.9920","no_sub_title":"Grok","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"1366495.62","open_time":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0050","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0060","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0050","price_level_structure":"deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If xAI has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":3600,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","subtitle":"Grok:: xAI","ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-XAI","title":"Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-13T19:44:23.06889Z","volume_24h_fp":"21914.67","volume_fp":"2420490.15","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0080","yes_ask_size_fp":"135.01","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0060","yes_bid_size_fp":"28712.00","yes_sub_title":"Grok"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-12-31T20:54:49.523897Z","custom_strike":{"Organization":"Meta"},"event_ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.0090","latest_expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9920","no_bid_dollars":"0.9910","no_sub_title":"Muse","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"1146688.47","open_time":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0090","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0100","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0090","price_level_structure":"deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If Meta has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":3600,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","subtitle":"LLaMA:: Meta","ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-META","title":"Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-13T19:44:23.06889Z","volume_24h_fp":"8309.87","volume_fp":"2143088.06","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0090","yes_ask_size_fp":"9047.80","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0080","yes_bid_size_fp":"40658.00","yes_sub_title":"Muse"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2025-12-31T20:54:49.523897Z","custom_strike":{"Organization":"Alibaba"},"event_ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.0060","latest_expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9940","no_bid_dollars":"0.9930","no_sub_title":"Qwen","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","open_interest_fp":"815136.43","open_time":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0060","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0070","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0060","price_level_structure":"deci_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0010"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If Alibaba has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":3600,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","subtitle":"Qwen:: Alibaba","ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-ALI","title":"Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-13T19:44:23.06889Z","volume_24h_fp":"12245.74","volume_fp":"1328877.46","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0070","yes_ask_size_fp":"19110.17","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0060","yes_bid_size_fp":"62214.89","yes_sub_title":"Qwen"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","created_time":"2026-07-16T21:31:00.181746Z","custom_strike":{"Organization":"Moonshot"},"event_ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.0100","latest_expiration_time":"2027-01-31T15:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"1.0000","no_bid_dollars":"0.9900","no_sub_title":"Kimi","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","occurrence_datetime":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","open_interest_fp":"687196.59","open_time":"2026-07-16T22:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0100","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0100","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0000","price_level_structure":"linear_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0100"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If Moonshot has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.  Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":3600,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","subtitle":"Kimi:: Moonshot","ticker":"KXLLM1-26DEC31-MOON","title":"Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?","updated_time":"2026-10-13T19:44:23.06889Z","volume_24h_fp":"64.00","volume_fp":"866751.08","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0100","yes_ask_size_fp":"75220.35","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0000","yes_bid_size_fp":"0.00","yes_sub_title":"Kimi"}],"mutually_exclusive":true,"series_ticker":"KXLLM1","settlement_sources":[{"name":"LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls)","url":"https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard"}],"strike_period":"","sub_title":"On Dec 31, 2026","title":"Best AI at the end of 2026?"},"markets":[]}
