{"event":{"category":"Elections","collateral_return_type":"MECNET","event_ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26","exchange_index":0,"last_updated_ts":"0001-01-01T00:00:00Z","mutually_exclusive":true,"product_metadata":{"competition":"Senate","competition_scope":"Margin of Victory (Bracketed)"},"series_ticker":"KXGENERALMOV","settlement_sources":[{"name":"Michigan Department of State","url":"https://www.michigan.gov/sos"}],"strike_period":"","sub_title":"On Nov 3, 2026","title":"Michigan Senate: margin of victory"},"markets":[{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","created_time":"2026-10-23T22:13:37.713928Z","custom_strike":{"Outcome":"Abdul El-Sayed 0% to 2%"},"early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.","event_ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.2200","latest_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.8600","no_bid_dollars":"0.7800","no_sub_title":"Abdul El-Sayed, 0-2%","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","occurrence_datetime":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","open_interest_fp":"1128.50","open_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.1800","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.1800","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.1400","price_level_structure":"linear_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0100"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"The margin of victory is the vote share received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. If Abdul El-Sayed wins, the margin will be positive; if Abdul El-Sayed loses, the margin will be negative; if Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26-AELS-P1","title":"Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 0% and 2%?","updated_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:03.225978Z","volume_24h_fp":"87.21","volume_fp":"1149.50","yes_ask_dollars":"0.2200","yes_ask_size_fp":"1.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.1400","yes_bid_size_fp":"2.00","yes_sub_title":"Abdul El-Sayed, 0-2%"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","created_time":"2026-10-23T22:13:37.713928Z","custom_strike":{"Outcome":"Abdul El-Sayed 2% to 4%"},"early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.","event_ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.2200","latest_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.8500","no_bid_dollars":"0.7800","no_sub_title":"Abdul El-Sayed, 2-4%","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","occurrence_datetime":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","open_interest_fp":"719.95","open_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.2200","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.2200","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.1600","price_level_structure":"linear_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0100"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"The margin of victory is the vote share received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. If Abdul El-Sayed wins, the margin will be positive; if Abdul El-Sayed loses, the margin will be negative; if Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26-AELS-P3","title":"Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 2% and 4%?","updated_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:03.225978Z","volume_24h_fp":"51.53","volume_fp":"719.95","yes_ask_dollars":"0.2200","yes_ask_size_fp":"1128.16","yes_bid_dollars":"0.1500","yes_bid_size_fp":"28.00","yes_sub_title":"Abdul El-Sayed, 2-4%"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","created_time":"2026-10-23T22:13:37.713928Z","custom_strike":{"Outcome":"Abdul El-Sayed 4% to 6%"},"early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.","event_ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.1600","latest_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9000","no_bid_dollars":"0.8500","no_sub_title":"Abdul El-Sayed, 4-6%","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","occurrence_datetime":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","open_interest_fp":"97.08","open_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.1600","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.1500","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.1000","price_level_structure":"linear_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0100"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"The margin of victory is the vote share received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. If Abdul El-Sayed wins, the margin will be positive; if Abdul El-Sayed loses, the margin will be negative; if Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26-AELS-P5","title":"Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 4% and 6%?","updated_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:03.225978Z","volume_24h_fp":"35.47","volume_fp":"97.08","yes_ask_dollars":"0.1500","yes_ask_size_fp":"11.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.1000","yes_bid_size_fp":"2.00","yes_sub_title":"Abdul El-Sayed, 4-6%"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","created_time":"2026-10-23T22:13:37.713928Z","custom_strike":{"Outcome":"Abdul El-Sayed 6% to 8%"},"early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.","event_ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.1100","latest_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9400","no_bid_dollars":"0.9000","no_sub_title":"Abdul El-Sayed, 6-8%","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","occurrence_datetime":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","open_interest_fp":"519.23","open_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.1000","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.1000","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0400","price_level_structure":"linear_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0100"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"The margin of victory is the vote share received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. If Abdul El-Sayed wins, the margin will be positive; if Abdul El-Sayed loses, the margin will be negative; if Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26-AELS-P7","title":"Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 6% and 8%?","updated_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:03.225978Z","volume_24h_fp":"17.23","volume_fp":"619.23","yes_ask_dollars":"0.1000","yes_ask_size_fp":"11.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0600","yes_bid_size_fp":"29.00","yes_sub_title":"Abdul El-Sayed, 6-8%"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","created_time":"2026-10-23T22:13:37.713928Z","custom_strike":{"Outcome":"Abdul El-Sayed 8% to 10%"},"early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.","event_ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.0800","latest_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9600","no_bid_dollars":"0.9300","no_sub_title":"Abdul El-Sayed, 8-10%","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","occurrence_datetime":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","open_interest_fp":"591.00","open_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0800","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0600","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0300","price_level_structure":"linear_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0100"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"The margin of victory is the vote share received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. If Abdul El-Sayed wins, the margin will be positive; if Abdul El-Sayed loses, the margin will be negative; if Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26-AELS-P9","title":"Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 8% and 10%?","updated_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:03.225978Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"591.00","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0700","yes_ask_size_fp":"4.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0400","yes_bid_size_fp":"1000.00","yes_sub_title":"Abdul El-Sayed, 8-10%"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","created_time":"2026-10-23T22:13:37.713928Z","custom_strike":{"Outcome":"Abdul El-Sayed 10% to 100%"},"early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.","event_ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.0400","latest_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9600","no_bid_dollars":"0.9500","no_sub_title":"Abdul El-Sayed, ≥10%","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","occurrence_datetime":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","open_interest_fp":"1689.60","open_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0400","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0600","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0400","price_level_structure":"linear_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0100"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"The margin of victory is the vote share received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. If Abdul El-Sayed wins, the margin will be positive; if Abdul El-Sayed loses, the margin will be negative; if Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26-AELS-P10","title":"Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 10%?","updated_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:03.225978Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"1843.20","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0500","yes_ask_size_fp":"4.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0400","yes_bid_size_fp":"532.00","yes_sub_title":"Abdul El-Sayed, ≥10%"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","created_time":"2026-10-23T22:13:37.713928Z","custom_strike":{"Outcome":"Mike Rogers 0% to 2%"},"early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.","event_ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.1700","latest_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.8800","no_bid_dollars":"0.8200","no_sub_title":"Mike Rogers, 0-2%","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","occurrence_datetime":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","open_interest_fp":"1419.72","open_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.1700","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.2000","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.1200","price_level_structure":"linear_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0100"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"The margin of victory is the vote share received by Mike Rogers minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Mike Rogers if Mike Rogers wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Mike Rogers loses. If Mike Rogers wins, the margin will be positive; if Mike Rogers loses, the margin will be negative; if Mike Rogers ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Rogers runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26-MROG-P1","title":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 0% and 2%?","updated_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:03.225978Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"1542.85","yes_ask_dollars":"0.1800","yes_ask_size_fp":"1.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.1200","yes_bid_size_fp":"2.00","yes_sub_title":"Mike Rogers, 0-2%"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","created_time":"2026-10-23T22:13:37.713928Z","custom_strike":{"Outcome":"Mike Rogers 2% to 4%"},"early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.","event_ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.1100","latest_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9500","no_bid_dollars":"0.9000","no_sub_title":"Mike Rogers, 2-4%","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","occurrence_datetime":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","open_interest_fp":"1937.85","open_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.1100","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.1100","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0600","price_level_structure":"linear_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0100"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"The margin of victory is the vote share received by Mike Rogers minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Mike Rogers if Mike Rogers wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Mike Rogers loses. If Mike Rogers wins, the margin will be positive; if Mike Rogers loses, the margin will be negative; if Mike Rogers ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Rogers runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26-MROG-P3","title":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 2% and 4%?","updated_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:03.225978Z","volume_24h_fp":"100.71","volume_fp":"2543.55","yes_ask_dollars":"0.1000","yes_ask_size_fp":"9.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0500","yes_bid_size_fp":"1000.00","yes_sub_title":"Mike Rogers, 2-4%"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","created_time":"2026-10-23T22:13:37.713928Z","custom_strike":{"Outcome":"Mike Rogers 4% to 6%"},"early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.","event_ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.0700","latest_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9800","no_bid_dollars":"0.9400","no_sub_title":"Mike Rogers, 4-6%","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","occurrence_datetime":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","open_interest_fp":"4719.69","open_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0400","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0600","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0200","price_level_structure":"linear_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0100"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"The margin of victory is the vote share received by Mike Rogers minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Mike Rogers if Mike Rogers wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Mike Rogers loses. If Mike Rogers wins, the margin will be positive; if Mike Rogers loses, the margin will be negative; if Mike Rogers ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Rogers runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26-MROG-P5","title":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 4% and 6%?","updated_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:03.225978Z","volume_24h_fp":"30.09","volume_fp":"6945.69","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0600","yes_ask_size_fp":"1.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0200","yes_bid_size_fp":"1000.00","yes_sub_title":"Mike Rogers, 4-6%"},{"can_close_early":true,"close_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","created_time":"2026-10-23T22:13:37.713928Z","custom_strike":{"Outcome":"Mike Rogers 6% to 100%"},"early_close_condition":"This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.","event_ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26","exchange_index":0,"expected_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","expiration_value":"","last_price_dollars":"0.0200","latest_expiration_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","market_type":"binary","no_ask_dollars":"0.9900","no_bid_dollars":"0.9600","no_sub_title":"Mike Rogers, ≥6%","notional_value_dollars":"1.0000","occurrence_datetime":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","open_interest_fp":"3001.40","open_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","previous_price_dollars":"0.0200","previous_yes_ask_dollars":"0.0500","previous_yes_bid_dollars":"0.0200","price_level_structure":"linear_cent","price_ranges":[{"end":"1.0000","start":"0.0000","step":"0.0100"}],"result":"","rules_primary":"If the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is at or above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.","rules_secondary":"The margin of victory is the vote share received by Mike Rogers minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Mike Rogers if Mike Rogers wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Mike Rogers loses. If Mike Rogers wins, the margin will be positive; if Mike Rogers loses, the margin will be negative; if Mike Rogers ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Rogers runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","settlement_bounds_type":"default","settlement_timer_seconds":1800,"status":"active","strike_type":"custom","ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEMI-26-MROG-P6","title":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 6%?","updated_time":"2026-10-23T23:00:03.225978Z","volume_24h_fp":"0.00","volume_fp":"5271.40","yes_ask_dollars":"0.0400","yes_ask_size_fp":"1734.00","yes_bid_dollars":"0.0100","yes_bid_size_fp":"2100.00","yes_sub_title":"Mike Rogers, ≥6%"}]}